The foresight and planning unit fpu was set up at swinburne in 1999 and charged with the mission of developing, implementing and continuously improving the university planning framework in ways that met the needs of the university community, and with developing a strong foresight and strategic thinking capacity to underpin and inform the. A thorough strategic planning exercise outlines the companys main direction while at the same time defining its needs in terms of leadership quality and in terms of financing. Note this post is part of a series on using strategic foresight to influence longerrange innovation investments. Nasa produces a strategic plan every four years, in accordance with the new administration, to outline our vision for the future and to provide a clear, unified, and longterm direction for all of nasas activities. Each year vision foresight strategy vfs produces the emerging issues for conflict and security report ei4cs, which identifies future issues that may play a role in shaping the nature and conduct of human conflict in the years ahead.
Strategic foresight in business management aalto ee. Strategic foresight is generally focused at the mid or longterm time frame. This text is intended as a note for the phd course, strategic foresight in engineering. First, organizational culture has been found to be critical for successful corporate foresight, but no clear evidence on the design of. A thorough evaluation of criteria and methods used in foresight analysis would permit the improved. As the impact of strategic decisionmaking at the corporate, sectoral and national levels increase, there are growing demands for high quality and solid foresight outputs. Strategic foresight in international affairs has traditionally been a sovereign task that is performed within the framework of the nationstate. Foresight is a strategic thinking capability, so the use of foresight methodologies occurs at this first stage of the strategy development process that is, the use of foresight methodologies seeks to expand the perception of.
The content block is about 3035 minutes, and we will then have time for questions and discussion. Foresight is a strategic thinking capability, so the use of foresight methodologies occurs at this first stage of the strategy development process that is, the use of foresight methodologies seeks to expand the perception of the range of strategic options available to an organisation. This is where strategic foresight becomes important in your planning process. Nevertheless, there are three areas, which are defined for each system.
Strategic foresight looks at change from a systems perspective. This article offers leaders elements of the us armys operational art model to easily apply when looking long and acting shortterm. The scientific field is weakly organized and there is a lack of theoretical progress. The strategic foresight in business management program is a comprehensive introduction to the approaches and tools of strategic foresight. Strategic foresight and government to bind themselves into rigid positions. Strategic foresight is a set of skills and tools used to explore potential futures, so that you can plan for and take advantage of them. There has perhaps never been a time in human history where strategic foresight is more needed.
A look at the national level shows that most countries are a long way from a whole of government approach. Strategic foresight activities allow companies to identify weak signals of change and react to opportunities and threats in their environment. A quick and clean guide to creating foresight by richard a k lum, strategic foresight. Strategic planning always includes analysis, but it may or may not involve serious foresight on the way to developing a plan, or taking an action.
Strategic foresight analysis 20 report 3 introduction strategic foresight is the ability to create and sustain a variety of high quality forward views and to apply the emerging insights in organisationally useful ways. There are as many strategic foresight types as there are needs. Keywords research methods, design, forward planning, strategic planning, creative thinking. Design thinking is inherently and invariably oriented towards the future in that all design is for products, services or events that will exist in the future, and be used by people in the future. Built as a handson, practical resource, the playbook enables anyone to practice and advance as an innovation leader. This is maree conway, and welcome to this webinar today which will provide you with an overview of foresight methods. Andy hines in his article, strategic foresight, identifies six critical steps to develop the foresight you need to navigate in this rapidly changing environment. At the same time, practical application of government foresight in strategic.
It enable us to see and shape a deeply desirable future by making and living by wise strategic commitments in the present commitments that are sound and contextsensitive enough to survive context change and actually contribute to the cocreation of a future we desire given this understanding, we note. This allows experimentation of strategic moves, which is particularly important where reactions to strategic moves are nontrivial. Holder of the chair of strategic foresight at the conservatoire national des arts et. Download your free copy of the playbook by clicking on the book cover above. Foresight competence and the strategic thinking of. How and to what extent are foresight competence and the strategic thinking of strategylevel leaders associated within the context of organisational strategymaking. Strategic foresight in business management tools for creating strategic and competitive advantage. Lessons from using scenarios for strategic foresight. A brief overview of strategic foresight workshop slides for. By taking a longterm, proactive approach to thinking about potential futures, lessons are learned about what is wanted and not wanted in time to still do something about it, rather than only having the option to be reactive, as only what is imagined can be created.
The idea for this strategic foresight primer was born out of. First, organizational culture has been found to be critical for successful corporate foresight, but no clear evidence on the design of a foresight. First, as foresight is a quite ambiguously defined. Prior research notes that the lack of strategic thinking capabilities is regarded as the greatest challenge facing organisational leaders in the. It is available in electronic form on nasas website at.
Your competitors may implode under the pressure of a future they. At its best, the process allows policymakers to explore possible futures, and pursue policies that are most likely to bring them to fruition. Related content and download information correct at time of download. Pdf strategic foresight for collaborative exploration of new. If you purchase a chain saw you anticipate that you will receive a certain amount of utility from it. Introduction to foresight and foresight processes in practice. The marketing process must also add utility to the products consumers want. It seems that every business has a strategic planning process and if you dont, youre embarrassed to admit it to your golfing buddies. You can prepare for this scenario by looking into the future and planning in the present. They have also created an extensive glossary of all foresight terms and methods. Strategic foresight october 2019 strategic foresight for.
Foresight as a strategic longterm planning tool for. Strategic foresight advice should be broadly based, and wherever possible backed up by empirical evidence, so that it can be contested and debated by others in the policy domain. Strategic foresight leading practices for the discover. Given these gaps in the literature the research problem investigated in this study is. Strategic foresight was launched so the emergency management community can seek to understand how the world is changing, and how those changes may affect the future of emergency management. Implement strategic foresight with elements of the us army.
Lessons from using scenarios for strategic foresight clem bezold institute for alternative futures, 100 north pitt street, alexandria, va 22314, usa article info abstract article history. A practical approach to strategic foresight and scenarios. Leadership of organisations are currently faced by what are termed post normal times. Recognition, puts the elements and processes of design thinking together in the following way.
Foresight competence and the strategic thinking of strategy. Building a system of strategic foresight in government requires putting in place the elements that will enable a sustained and ongoing practice of strategic foresight. For our new methodology for businessfield exploration, the elements of all three. European commission, promoting eu wide foresight approaches. Analysts and decision makers can use nine different strategic foresight techniques to anticipate the outcome s of struggles in such places as syria or the.
A brief overview of strategic foresight workshop slides. This is a practical field guide to foresight and foresight tools for leaders in business, the public sector and ngos, to aid their practice in strategy, decision making and change. The contents of this document do not necessarily represent the official policies of the department of homeland security or the federal emergency management agency. Fema urban search and rescue teams, along with dhs partners, conduct searches in neighborhoods. Elements in the construction of future orientation. A highlights sheet is available to download for free. Guidelines for strategic foresight edited by andy hines and peter bishop is the essential handbook for every aspiring analyst and, students of strategic foresight. Strategic foresight is a collaborative effort of the emergency management community facilitated by the federal emergency management agency fema. Introduction to foresight and foresight processes in.
The sfa sets the foundation for the followon report, the framework for future alliance operations ffao. In this sense, strategic foresight is fundamentally different from the notion of five or 10 year plans. This is marked by complexity, flux and contradictions in all aspects of the operating environments within which the organisations function. Download this article as a pdf if i had asked them what they wanted, they would have said faster horses. The figure is intended not as a prescription of what strategic management should be, but as a framework which readers can use to think through strategic problems. To frame your domain, think carefully about these two components. Elements of national security strategy atlantic council. Nov 18, 2019 strategic foresight supplies these frameworks. Agrip members can download a deck of steep trend cards likely to have applicability. Introduction to strategic foresight future motions. The full innovation leaders guide to strategic foresight is available for download strategic foresight enables companies to build a proprietary view of.
Received march 2010 received in revised form 31 may 2010 accepted 21 june 2010. In a world of neverending change, leaders must elevate above the battlefield and retain alignment with strategic purpose. The strategic foresight analysis sfa 2017 report aims to support nato leaderships visualization of the future secu rity environment, which is c haracterized by a rapid rate of change, complexity, uncertainty and interconnectedness. Nasa 2018 strategic plan agency information welcome to nasa. Mar 30, 2017 in both cases, there is solid evidence on the successful contribution of strategic foresight to the policymaking process juneau 2017, pherson 2016. Other countries, such as singapore, created an open strategic foresight culture by encouraging strategic knowledge to be shared freely between the public and stakeholders as well as subjectmatter experts. Thinking about the future, by andy hines and peter bishop, distills the expertise of three dozen senior foresight professionals into a set of essential guidelines for carrying out successful strategic foresight.
The influences on, and elements of, strategic management discussed above are summarised in the figure above. Who are the foresight professionals and the end users. The nine functions of marketing strategic foresight. The number of articles, seminars, books and conferences extolling the virtues of and need for strategic planning are innumerable. In this regard, a timely detection and elimination of problems in foresight projects is of great importance.
Pdf strategic foresight is a scientific field in rapid development judged from the increase in number of yearly publications the last decade. Whats your futuresix steps for gaining strategic foresight. Strategic foresight efforts at both the broad contextual and sectorspecific levels can interlink and reinforce each other as part of an ongoing system of integrating futures thinking into policymaking. First, strategic foresight, a discipline i describe in more detail, provides the vitally needed mindsets and frameworks required to plan in uncertainty. While subtle, there is a distinction between vision and foresight. Framing, scanning, forecasting, visioning, planning, and. Linking strategic foresight attitudes and activities aids leader to integrate the long and shortterm. Maximizing the power of strategic foresight washington. Aug 10, 2014 a brief overview of strategic foresight workshop slides for sseo 1. Whether this exercise is performed by the ownermanager, the successor, the board of directors, or a management committee, the exercise comprises eight elements. Strategic foresight primer committee of the regions european.
The program is based on scientific approaches to foresight and scenario work. To effectively spot new trends, strategic foresight teams need to have a much wider range of information sources than. This declaration is a concise summary of the overall effect the government wishes to achieve with the national security strategy. Strategic foresight enables organizations to build a unique perspective of the future, driving market entry at the right time with differentiated products and services. Utility is the use or satisfaction a person gets from a product. We address the benefits of strategic foresightinformed design thinking, identifying some of the enhancements it. Strategic foresight also offers the opportunity to influence the future. Introduction to foresight and foresight processes in practice note for the phd course strategic foresight in engineering andersen, per dannemand. The key aspect of the strategic object is that it aims at integrating knowledge in a new way by crossing the. Strategic foresight is a bland term for a great idea. Keywords research methods, design, forward planning, strategic planning, creative thinking, decision making paper type research paper introduction, hypotheses, case studies and approach. Eight elements of strategic planning from success to succession. Global strategic foresight community reports world.
Implement strategic foresight with elements of the us armys. Download the innovation leaders guide to strategic foresight to learn more. Eight elements of strategic planning from success to. The concept of a system implies that parts or subsystems are part of a larger system.
Nine techniques for business and intelligence analysis. A consideration of possible futures alternative futures and of probable futures forecasts, predictions is important to developing a preferred future plan, even the simple mental plans made prior to taking an action. One of these questions concerns the organizational settings needed to enhance the success of of. But not all foresight approaches are created equal. While strategic planning is a vital competency for todays leaders as they craft a vision for the future, an equally important leadership competency is strategic foresight to anticipate how this future might unfold. Foresight workshop how to guide foresight workshop how. An overview of foresight methods linkedin slideshare. Chapter on the foundations of the popular strategic foresight class created and taught by the author within the mba in design strategy at california college of the arts, san francisco. Five strategic foresight tools to enhance business model.
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